On qualifying for the Olympics

1 in 4 people believe they can qualify for the Olympics if they started training seriously.
The average person believes he is more talented than the average person.
This belief does not translate to reality.
The probability of the average person qualifying for the Olympics is infinitesimal.
Yet, unlike qualifying for the Olympics, the average person has a real chance doing the following:

Writing a poem,

Exercising,

Learning to play the flute

Planting a tree.

Fabio